Finding value when betting on soccer is the art of strictly mathematical betting. When you bet on value, you don’t pay attention to criteria like league table, form, history, injuries, etc. The “normal” way of betting on soccer is first finding an object you believe in, then check if the odds are all right. Value betting requires another way of thinking. In fact, value betting is the opposite of conventional betting. It’s not about picking objects, but picking odds! This means that you don’t necessarily have to believe in the team you put your money on. As long as the odds presented are better than the strictly mathematical chance your team has of winning the game, that makes it one of the betting on soccer value bets.
Finding the value when betting on soccer
Is an object with value typically an object with odds more than 3.5 or so? No, an object can be a value when betting on soccer with odds of just 1.30, or 1.20. It all depends on what you think is the objec’ts chance of winning the game. If you think a team has got 50 % chance of winning the game, the betting on soccer odds above 2.0 represents value. If you think the team has only got a 40% chance, it’s no longer one of the betting on soccer value bets (with odds = 2.0). Objects with good value are objects which will give you a positive payoff over time. So if Sheff. Wed has got 10.0 for a win at Old Trafford, it is a betting on soccer value bets if you think Wednesday will win more than 1 out of 10 similar games. The formula for finding an object’s value is when betting on soccer:
ODDS * Percentage >= 1.0
The percentage is your subjective opinion on the object’s chance of winning the event.
If the result of the above calculation is a number greater than 1.0 the bet is a value bet. If it’s below 1.0 it’s not a value bet, but it can, of course, still be a good bet.
Useful info about betting on soccer value
Big favorites are rarely good objects for betting on soccer value, due to the bookies’ fear for large payouts if the favorites should win. Big names like Man Utd, Juventus, Inter, Milan, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, are rarely given good prices by the bookies, because the bookies know that the common punter bets on the big names (as they often seem to win their games, and they have a huge following).
As a result of the above, real betting on soccer value is often found in the form of underdogs. The bookies know that punters are more likely to bet on favorites, therefore, prices are generally higher on underdogs.
Patience is the key to success when betting on soccer. Do not alter your strategy if you lose several times in a row. The point is that when you win when betting on soccer, your net winnings will outweigh your total losses.
Value betting could be a good strategy in the beginning and the end of a season. Results are often more unpredictable in the first and last quarter of the season, and punters should perhaps make use of this “fact” by adopting to the value betting on soccer strategy during early autumn and late spring.
Stake determination with betting on soccer
Once you’ve found a few good value soccer bets, you need to determine how much of your funds you should bet on each of these soccer bets. There are several criteria that can help you to determine your stake, and to help you place your bets in a certain betting on soccer system.